Every four years, the National Intelligence Council (NIC) releases an assessment of the forces and dynamics likely to shape the national security environment over the next 20 years. Known as the Global Trends Report, it is intended to provide each incoming or returning U.S. presidential administration an unclassified assessment of the strategic environment. The most recent report identified four structural forces that will shape the future and five potential scenarios for the world in 2040.
Please join the American Security Project (ASP) on Thursday, February 10, for a conversation with Dr. Gregory Treverton, former chairman of the National Intelligence Council. Dr. Treverton will discuss the most recent Global Trends report and the conceptual and practical value of the long-term thinking Global Trends provides.
Register in advance for this webinar:
https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_H7KPXDefTeiCwoUnVhUtCw
Global Trends Report: https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/GlobalTrends_2040.pdf
Gregory F. Treverton is Professor of the Practice of International Relations and Spatial Sciences at the University of Southern California.
He served as chairman of the National Intelligence Council from September 2014 to January 2017. Earlier, he directed the RAND Corporation’s Center for Global Risk and Security, and before that, its Intelligence Policy Center and its International Security and Defense Policy Center. He also was associate dean of the Pardee RAND Graduate School.
He has served in government for the first Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, handling Europe for the National Security Council and as vice-chair of the National Intelligence Council, overseeing the writing of America’s National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs). In addition to RAND, he has taught at Harvard and Columbia universities, has been a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, and also Deputy Director of the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London.
His latest books are Dividing Divided States, University of Pennsylvania Press, 2014; and Beyond the Great Divide: Relevance and Uncertainty in National Intelligence and Science for Policy (with Wilhelm Agrell), Oxford University Press, 2015.