The Atlantic – Joshua Foust on Trying to Unravel the Tblisi Blast
Source: The Atlantic, 7/29/2011
ASP Fellow Joshua Foust is a featured author.
By Joshua Foust
“…But, despite the hemming and hawing from the officials who are leaking all this highly classified information to Eli (because “the U.S. reaction to the possible state-sponsored terrorism has been too weak,” as one official told him), the lack of consensus on the responsibility for the blast is really the key thing to remember. As I mention routinely, intelligence analysis is actually really hard, and it is especially difficult to avoid introducing biases that might imply a conclusion the evidence might not support.
In Eli’s report there is mention of a new report released to Congress today from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, but no sense of what is in that report–does it reach a different conclusion from the “highly classified” CIA report mentioned Wednesday? It is unclear from the reporting, but right now it appears to…”
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